基于DEMATEL-ISM大水位变幅无人值守锚地岸电系统安全风险管控技术研究*
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Research on safety risk control technology for unattended anchorage shore power system under large water level fluctuations based on DEMATEL-ISM
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    摘要:

    在“双碳”目标下,船舶靠港使用岸电成为推动长江航运绿色低碳转型的关键举措,但目前针对岸电设备设施安全风险管控技术的研究较为缺乏。为解决大水位变幅无人值守锚地岸电系统安全稳定运行的难题,通过文献研究及专家访谈相结合的方法,分析得出影响该类岸电系统安全运行的9个风险因素。通过构建基于DEMATEL-ISM模型的安全风险分析模型,明确了智能感知信息可靠性是核心影响因素,岸电设备损坏、网络安全是重要传导因素,外部环境是底层因素,管理和维护漏洞是表象因素。据此,提出了涵盖多源信息融合、设备故障诊断、安全通信、环境监测及系统运维等多方面的安全管控技术,为该类系统的安全稳定运行提供了有效的解决方案,对推动岸电设施无人化、智能化发展具有积极意义。

    Abstract:

    Under the “dual carbon” goals,shore power utilization by ships at berth has become a key measure to advance the green and low-carbon transformation of Yangtze River shipping.However,research on safety risk control technologies for shore power equipment and facilities remains relatively scarce.To address the challenge of ensuring the safe and stable operation of unattended anchorage shore power systems under large water level fluctuations,nine risk factors affecting the operational safety of such systems are analyzed through a combination of literature review and expert interviews.A safety risk analysis model based on the DEMATEL-ISM model is established,which identifies the reliability of intelligent perception information as the core influencing factor,shore power equipment damage and network security as critical transmission factors,the external environment as the underlying factor,and management and maintenance vulnerabilities as the superficial factors.On this basis,multi-dimensional safety control technologies covering multi-source information fusion,equipment fault diagnosis,secure communication,environmental monitoring and system operation and maintenance are proposed,providing an effective solution for the safe and stable operation of such systems.This has positive significance for promoting the unmanned and intelligent development of shore power facilities.

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肖玉华,何亚闻.基于DEMATEL-ISM大水位变幅无人值守锚地岸电系统安全风险管控技术研究*[J].水运工程,2026(3):27-35.

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-03-24
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