基于云模型的水力式升船机输水系统运行风险分析*
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中国华能集团公司总部科技项目(HNKJ17-H19)


Risk assessment of water conveyance system in hydraulic ship lift based on cloud model
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    摘要:

    水力式升船机以水力代替电力的新型驱动方式,在高坝通航领域具有里程碑意义。为保障水力式升船机安全运行,针对其驱动核心输水系统运行安全进行风险分析。构建水力式升船机输水系统运行风险评估方法的理论体系,剖析输水系统运行原理,阐明输水系统竖井水位差风险特征;基于云模型理论,建立输水系统竖井水位差风险预警指标;依托景洪水力式升船机,预测100米级水力式升船机输水系统竖井水位差风险指标阈值。结果表明,本方法可有效控制由竖井水位差引起的水力式升船机运行风险,将其应用于水力式升船机领域风险预警,能够为水力式升船机的运行风险防控提供决策。

    Abstract:

    The new driving mode of hydraulic power is instead of electric power in the hydraulic ship lift,which is a milestone in the field of navigation of high dam. In order to ensure the safe operation of the hydraulic ship lift,the risk assessment is carried out for its water conveyance system. In this paper,a theoretical system of operation risk assessment method for water conveyance system of hydraulic ship lift is established. The operation principle of the water conveyance system is analyzed,and the risk characteristics of the water level not equivalence phenomenon in the shafts are expounded. Based on the cloud model theory,an early warning index of the water level not equivalence phenomenon in the shafts is established. By taking the Jinghong hydraulic ship lift as an example,the threshold of the risk index of water level not equivalence phenomenon in the shafts of water conveyance system in the 100-meters level of hydraulic ship lift is predicted. The results show that this method can effectively control the risk of the shafts water level not equivalence phenomenon,and can be applied to the risk early warning of hydraulic ship lift,and can be used to provide decision-making for the running risk prevention of hydraulic ship lift.

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刘精凯,胡亚安,薛 淑.基于云模型的水力式升船机输水系统运行风险分析*[J].水运工程,2020(9):14-18.

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  • 在线发布日期: 2020-09-02
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