乘潮水位估计的逐时潮位统计法*
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NSFC-山东联合基金资助项目(U1706226)


Hourly statistical method to estimate ridable tidal levels
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    摘要:

    针对海岸港口的乘潮水位计算问题,提出了逐时潮位法计算给定延时和保证率条件下的乘潮水位。该方法从潮位过程线上读取逐时潮位观测资料对应的持续时间,按潮位和延时分组进行二维统计,从统计结果中抽取所需计算延时的潮位序列,根据序列绘制累积频率曲线得到所需保证率的潮位值。该方法与规范法的计算结果相差不大,但在绘制累积频率曲线能减少约50%的计算量,将有效减少机时,提高工作效率。通过该方法计算得到了日照港年和季的乘高潮水位,计算结果表明船舶在乘潮进入日照港时,需特别考虑季节因素的影响。

    Abstract:

    An hourly tidal level statistical method is proposed to calculate ridable tidal levels of seaports under the given tide rising duration and assurance rate.A bivarite variables of ridable tidal level and corresponding tidal duration are obtained from tide level history curve.The tidal levels data under given duration can be abstracted from the above bivariate.Then an accumulative frequency curve can be plotted from which the tidal level value under given assurance rate can be calculated.The results by new method are similar to those by technical code method,but the former method could reduce 50% of the calculation for plotting accumulative frequency curve.The computation time can also be reduced and the efficiency is increased.Both annual and seasonal ridable tidal high levels in Rizhao port have been calculated by using this new method.The result shows that the seasonal influences should be considered when ships take tide to enter Rizhao port.

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董 胜,廖振焜,焦春硕.乘潮水位估计的逐时潮位统计法*[J].水运工程,2018(1):29-34.

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  • 在线发布日期: 2018-01-15
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