乌江(贵州段)航道等级提升对流域经济的带动作用
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Driving effect of waterway class upgrade in Guizhou section of Wujiang River on basin economy
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    摘要:

    2021年乌江水运首次实现大规模全线复航,当前正推进Ⅲ级航道等级提升。针对乌江水运复航且航道等级提升(贵州段)后流域经济带动作用缺乏多维度量化评估、影响机制不清等问题,构建涵盖交通、经济、社会与生态的系统分析框架,采用“有-无”对比法、投入产出等方法进行量化分析。结果表明,乌江航道等级提升可降低社会物流成本,预计2035、2050年节约运输费用分别为21.5亿、25.6亿元;带动区域经济增长,运营期可分别实现经济增加值109.8亿、194亿元;创造就业岗位8万个,建设期与运营期分别带动约14.9万与26.3万个就业机会;促进节能减排,2035、2050年分别减少碳排放37.9万、49.8万t。乌江航道等级提升是带动流域经济综合发展的关键举措,应加快推进航道等级提升、完善港口枢纽功能、振兴船舶制造、强化政策保障等行动,推动流域交通-经济-社会-生态协同发展。

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    In 2021,large-scale full-line resumption of navigation on the Wujiang River was realized for the first time,and the upgrade to Class Ⅲ waterway standard for its Guizhou reach is being advanced.Aiming at the problems including insufficient multi-dimensional quantitative evaluation and unclear impact mechanism of navigation resumption and waterway class upgrade on the basin economy,this study establishes a systematic analysis framework covering transportation,economy,society and ecology,and adopts the “with-and-without” comparison method and input-output method for quantitative analysis.The results show that the waterway class upgrade of the Wujiang River can reduce social logistics costs,with transportation expenses expected to be reduced by 2.15 billion CNY in 2035 and 2.56 billion CNY in 2050.It can boost regional economic growth,generating a total economic value added of 10.98 billion and 19.4 billion CNY over the operation period.The project can create 80,000 permanent jobs,and drive approximately 149,000 jobs during construction and 263,000 jobs during operation.In terms of energy conservation and emission reduction,carbon emissions will be reduced by 379,000 tCO2 in 2035 and 498,000 tCO2 in 2050.The waterway class upgrade of the Wujiang River is a key measure to boost the comprehensive development of the basin economy.It is necessary to accelerate waterway upgrading,improve port hub functions,revitalize shipbuilding and strengthen policy support,so as to promote the coordinated development of transportation,economy,society and ecology in the basin.

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张 栋,王 桃,刘晓玲,等.乌江(贵州段)航道等级提升对流域经济的带动作用[J].水运工程,2026(9):34-42.

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-09-17
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